Saturday, February 13, 2010

Bill James Predictions

I was reviewing the predictions Bill James made on the Red Sox for the 2010 season. Overall, they offensively they seem pretty accurate. Obviously as a Red Sox fan I hope to see a bump up in production, especially from what he see in the 3 & 4 holes of the lineup.

On the pitching front, I think he is basically dead on in his predictions other then with John Lester. I see Lester having a much better season than his prediction from James. I also wouldn't worry to much about his win predictions as so many factors go into the a starting pitcher getting a victory.

Here are the predictions Bill James had made for the Red Sox in 2010:

Starting Lineup: (BA-HR-RBI/OPS)

1. Ellsbury .302-09- 62/.780
2. Pedroia .307-15-75/.843
3. Martinez .298-19-97/.841
4. Youk .289-23-95/.885
5. Ortiz .264-29-99/.887
6. Drew .269-22-76/.859
7. Cameron .237-23-74/.756
8. Beltre .269-17-68/.760
9. Scutaro .264-10-57/.728

*Predictions are from before transactions took place for new players

Rotation: (W-L, ERA, K's)

1. Beckett 15-9/3.62/206
2. Lester 13-10/3.84/184
3. Lackey 13-10/3.81/166
4. Matsuzaka 12-10/4.02/184
5. Bucholz 10-8 /3.91/155
6. Wakefield 6-5 /4.03/62

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